The world is full of uncertainty: accidents, storms, unruly financial markets, noisy communications. The world is also full of data. Probabilistic modeling and the related field of statistical ...

Probability calculations determine the chance of a specific event occurring. This calculation factors in the number of positive events with respect to the total number of possible results. When you ...

This is The Week in Data, our data journalism roundup. Here you’ll find the most-read FiveThirtyEight articles of the past week, as well as gems we spotted elsewhere on the Internet. Mass shootings: ...

In the pursuit of recognizing true talent, industries often face a critical question: How can one accurately measure ability and potential? Over time, traditional subjective assessments have shown ...